OLG Model

#economics #macro

Oh, Hyunzi. (email: wisdom302@naver.com)
Korea University, Graduate School of Economics.
2024 Spring, instructed by prof. Kang, Minwook.


Over-Lapping-Generation, i.e. Diamond Model

  • population growth rate determined by birth rate
  • finite lifetime of household

Assumptions

Model Setting

  • discrete time: .
  • 2-period lifetime: the young born at , the old die at
  • Labor supplied by the young, Capital owned by the old
  • the young divide their labor income into consumption and savings, which equals to capital stock in the next period
  • Constant population & technology growth rate: , .

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Behaviors of Firms

Same as Solow Model, we have a production function

  • : CRS function
  • , , where are exogenous.
  • : capital stock at is owned by old.
  • : depreciation rate, : saving rate
  • .
  • .

Behaviors of Households

CRRA Utility Functions:

  • : constant relative-risk-aversion coefficient
  • : discount rate, : discount factor
  • : consumption of young() at time
  • : consumption of old() at time

Budget Constraint

Young divides their labor income into consumption and savings. While old consumes their savings when they were young. Thus the composite constraint is:

Optimization Problems

Problem: Lagrangian: F.O.C. The Euler equation is: thus the consumption growth rate increases when

  • interest rate increases; then and .
  • discount rate decreases; then and .
  • relative-risk-aversive rate decreases; then the consumer's response on and decreases.

Saving Rate

From the budget constraint, where the individual saving rate is

Saving rate and Interest rate

By taking derivatives with , we have

  • If (Logarithmic utility), then is independent of , thus
    • substitution effect of saving equals to its wealth effect.
    • change in the interest rate does not affect the saving rate.
    • thus the consumption is not affected by the interest rate.
  • If , then
    • substitution effect is greater than wealth effect.
    • the saving rate increases when the interest rate goes up.
  • If , then
    • substitution effect is smaller than wealth effect.
    • the saving rate decreases when the interest rate goes up.

Dynamics

Dynamics of

Since the capital stock is determined by the savings by young, as , where the third equality holds by Profit maximization conditions.

Steady State

Cobb-Douglas Function

Suppose and . then we have thus the dynamic equation of is at Steady-State, since , thus the S.S. capital stock per effective labor increases when

  • : labor share increases
  • , : growth rate of technology or population decreases
  • : discount rate decreases

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Note that in Diamond model, the Steady-State analysis is 1-dimensional problem.

General Function

  1. S.S. exists if: is concave increasing function, , .
  2. S.S. is stable if: : if not, then is not stable.

From the dynamic equation:

  1. if increases, then decreases by diminishing marginal productivity, thus the interest rate decreases.
  2. if , then since substitution effect greater than the wealth effect, decreasing in will decrease .
  3. thus if labor share does not increases constantly, we have .

Dynamic Inefficiency

Since the optimization problem in Diamond model is only considered in each generation separately, the equilibrium may not be dynamically efficient:

  • Their decision making is only for their own lifetime, not for the social welfare as a whole.
  • Diamond model does not assume any trade between young and old generation.
  • If inter-generational redistribution is possible, then the utility of total society may bettter off.

Golden Rule

Similar to Solow Model, consider a budget constraint as a whole economy: Assume , , and . then we have
therefore, if the production function is Cobb-Douglas form, then

Dynamic Inefficiency

The equilibrium equations are: since the dynamic inefficiency occurs when i.e. .

  • labor's share is big ( is small); or is small
  • over-savings decrease in interest rate inefficiency
  • if the social planner makes a decision, there is another solution that can maximize everyone's consumption.
  • thus OLG solution is not pareto optimal.